The 2026 U.S. Open is shaping up to be a thrilling affair, with a diverse field of seasoned veterans, rising stars, and unexpected contenders. As we count down to the first round at Shinnecock Hills, let's delve into the rankings and explore the narratives that make this tournament so captivating.
The Favorites
At the top of the list, we find Scottie Scheffler, the world's number one player. Despite some skepticism, I believe Scheffler's consistent performance across various scoring categories positions him as a strong favorite. His ability to adapt to any course makes him a formidable contender, especially if he can find his groove with the irons.
Rory McIlroy, the 2011 champion, is another player to watch. His recent reinvention and mental fortitude have led to impressive showings in recent years. While his driving accuracy may be slightly off, the wider fairways at Shinnecock could play to his advantage, allowing him to strategize and navigate his way to the top.
Xander Schauffele, a two-time major champion, consistently delivers at the U.S. Open. His top-15 finishes in this championship are a testament to his skill and adaptability. Despite some calling for better form, I argue that his solid foundation and recent top-10 finishes at the Masters and PGA Championship make him a serious threat.
Rising Stars and Underdogs
Cameron Young, a New Yorker with local ties, is an exciting prospect. His win at The Players Championship and recent success at Oakmont showcase his potential. However, I believe the real test will be managing the pressure and expectations that come with playing on familiar turf.
Jon Rahm, the 2021 champion, is a force to be reckoned with. His competitive spirit was on full display at the PGA Championship, and his recent form suggests he's gearing up for another deep run. Rahm's iron play, in particular, could be a significant factor in his quest for another U.S. Open title.
Matt Fitzpatrick, the most prolific winner on the PGA Tour this season, has been relatively quiet in major championships. However, his understanding of U.S. Open golf and exceptional pitching and chipping skills make him a dark horse. I predict he could surprise us if he finds his rhythm.
Veteran Contenders
Russell Henley, a consistent performer, has what it takes to shine at Shinnecock. His accuracy, precision, and recent win at Colonial make him a sleeper pick. With three consecutive top-15 finishes in this championship, Henley is a player to keep an eye on.
Ludvig Åberg, despite lacking wins, has been a factor in major tournaments. His total strokes gained rank third on the PGA Tour, and his Sunday struggles are a minor blip in an otherwise promising career. I believe patience will pay off, and Åberg could be a breakout star in the making.
Tommy Fleetwood, the 2018 runner-up, is seeking redemption. His near-miss at the Memorial signals a resurgence, and his ability to handle pressure could be crucial. If he can recapture the magic from 2018, Fleetwood could be a serious contender.
Major Champions and Comeback Stories
Patrick Reed, a major championship specialist, is a wildcard. His recent form and experience at the U.S. Open make him a dangerous opponent. Reed's artistry and short-game prowess could be the X-factor in his quest for a major title.
Justin Rose, the 2013 champion, is back in form after a slump. His top-10 finish at the PGA Championship and solid performance at Jack's Place indicate a return to his big-game hunting days. Rose's ability to adapt and excel under pressure make him a player to watch.
Bryson DeChambeau, a two-time U.S. Open champion, is a fascinating case. His recent struggles in major cuts contrast with his success on LIV Golf. I'm intrigued to see if he can translate his form to Shinnecock, but I remain skeptical.
Sam Burns, a rising star, is poised for a breakthrough. His performance at Oakmont and on challenging courses like the Masters and Memorial demonstrate his potential. If Burns can maintain his iron play, he could join the ranks of first-time major winners.
Defending Champions and Dark Horses
J.J. Spaun, the defending champion, is on a hot streak. His recent performances at Quail Hollow, Colonial, and Muirfield Village showcase his readiness. If he can replicate his green magic, Spaun could become the first back-to-back U.S. Open winner since Brooks Koepka.
Chris Gotterup, a two-time winner this season, has shown promise in majors. His creativity and shot-making could be an asset at Shinnecock. While he hasn't contended on Sundays, his ability to stay in the mix with the elites is noteworthy.
Wyndham Clark, the 2023 champion, is riding a wave of confidence. While some argue he's not the hottest player, his swing adjustments and recent wins at the Byron Nelson, Memorial, and Canadian Open make him a serious contender.
Health Concerns and Comeback Hopes
Collin Morikawa, a top-ranked player, is dealing with a back injury. His accuracy and precision are undeniable, but his health concerns have impacted his ranking. If Morikawa can manage his injury, he could be a dark horse for the title.
Tyrrell Hatton, a fiery competitor, is a wildcard. His win at Valderrama and near-miss at Oakmont showcase his potential. Hatton's all-around game and ability to handle pressure could lead to a breakthrough or a meltdown, adding an element of unpredictability.
Recent Struggles and Redemption Seekers
Justin Thomas, a former top-10 finisher, has shown form on challenging courses. His recent top-25 finishes and improved iron play suggest a resurgence. Thomas's ability to keep the ball in play could be key to overcoming his recent U.S. Open struggles.
Brooks Koepka, a two-time U.S. Open champion, is battling a hand injury. Despite recent major struggles, Koepka's commitment to playing at Shinnecock signals his determination. His ability to rise to the occasion in this championship makes him a player to watch, even with injury concerns.
Patrick Cantlay, a quiet contender, is finding his stride. His lethal iron play and improved putting make him a serious threat. Cantlay's ability to finish tournaments strongly could be a game-changer at Shinnecock.
The 2026 U.S. Open promises to be a captivating tournament, with a mix of established stars, rising talents, and unexpected challengers. As the players prepare for the challenge of Shinnecock Hills, one thing is certain: we're in for a thrilling ride filled with drama, surprises, and exceptional golf.
